For help on how to follow a comic title,
The model is more thoroughly documented than you may realize. Here is a 2020 report on the renewable module:
Now, I suspect you are going to look through that and pick out the parts that are less well-explained. I’ll save you the time. Some portions consist of well-established parameters and others basically say “we have a computer model that we created, we input data and got results”. To me, that’s fine. As you pointed out above, this is the work of years. What I appreciate is that there are people who are doing the work, and who hazard an estimate every now and then.
I also appreciate is that solar and wind were barely on the charts 12 years ago, but are now significant components in the energy portfolio:
Frankly, as you alluded earlier, I rather consider the trajectory outlined in the link above to be insufficient. It appears that if things are going the way the report suggests, we will be using more natural gas and only slightly less coal than we are currently using.
They go into greater detail. Here is the assumptions page:
There are are a list of linked modules in the upper right-hand corner that describes how they treated each energy component. This is the component for renewables:
Very few comments on (or likes for) Payne’s strips lately. It seems he must be submitting them just before midnight so they are never “New”.
It’s based on real data. Have you some analysis in hand that projects an alternative outcome?
Interestingly, Human Urine has been found to be an effective fertilizer:
I understand what you’re saying, but sometimes it seems like conservatives are trying to stop the development of renewables.
For example, in this Henry Payne cartoon, he lampoons the idea of a car that uses wind power:
Even though he himself owns a Tesla!
EIA projects renewables share of U.S. electricity generation mix will double by 2050:
But do you believe that he can declassify documents by merely thinking about it?
The US economy has been running on fossil fuels for 137 years. Time for an upgrade.